The following paragraphs are merely some thoughts I have on the current situation vis-a-vis Labour, Brexit, and the #FBPE campaign(ers) often so vocal on Twitter, and the 48% group on Facebook. The former is not a hashtag I use on my own profile, but I am a member of the (one of perhaps many) 48% group(s) on Facebook
Firstly, a qualifier. I am (still) a member, of The Green Party, perhaps not as active as I’d like, but I remain a member. That said, my broader politics are such that I am a supporter of the Corbyn/Momentum project and have become rather frustrated by the increasing ferocity of the #FBPE and 48% focus on Corbyn/Labour and their (in)ability/unwillingness to #StopBrexit.
The current situation is a near impossible one for Labour. The repeated and tiresome posts/Tweets along the lines of “FORGET CORBYN!” “LABOUR HAVE ALREADY BETRAYED US!” “GIVE LABOUR A KICKING!” and one from today “CORBYN IS JUST AS BAD AS MAY!” pay no heed to the political landscape under an inadequate electoral system. Constant repeats of “WE JUST NEED TO STOP BREXIT” are similarly problematic because they simply ignore the social conditions that produced the Brexit vote in the first place.
I think one of the most urgent challenges is the creation of a political economy that doesn’t actively impoverish and disenfranchise a large swathe of the population. Many Brexit voters – though by no means all – felt/feel actively dislocated and disenfranchised from political and economic life, they essentially lack(ed) social, political, economic agency and capital. The EU referendum vote gave these dislocated and disenfranchised citizens the opportunity to “kick” an uncaring establishment, and they did so. Looking around at their/our lives, seeing no possibilities for positive change, thinking that the major institutions are not designed to serve their interests, and – vitally important – internalising the logic of media propaganda that the EU is the source of all their/our problems….what would they/you do? If the above is true, even just for some, then the instincts of (some) Leave voters are right, the major institutions (both within and beyond the EU) are not designed to serve their/our interests. It is true that perhaps the target might’ve been partially misidentified, but it was the only one on offer.
In this context, and given that the above constituency has, historically, been drawn to vote Labour, Corbyn and the Labour Party have the near impossible task of attempting to represent the interests of the above disenfranchised (largely, though not wholly Leave voters), alongside the interests of the “cosmopolitan” urban, socially liberal citizens (largely, though not wholly Remain voters). This socially liberal position is probably the position/identity of many people in the 48% Facebook group(s) and the #FBPE Twitter crowd. This is a fragile coalition but it must, as much as possible, be held together to some extent.
The major issue I have with the “Stop Brexit” campaign is that it will do nothing to assuage the disenfranchised, in fact, it will merely confirm their worst suspicions, namely: that “the establishment” (loosely defined) don’t care about them/us, and worse, have not even heard them. Most crucially, if “Stop Brexit” means merely returning to the status quo, this will not address the very real issues that partially caused the Brexit vote in the first place. For many that voted Brexit, the status quo was/is characterised by deindustrialisation, financialization, privatisation, outsourcing, precarious labour and political abandonment. Now it is true, that the above characteristics sometimes manifests itself in anti-immigration rhetoric, but I suspect that, for many, the “immigration problem” is merely the most obvious signifier of their dislocation and disenfranchisement. *To be clear, I do not agree with this assumption, merely that, with the encouragement of the Daily Mail, Express, Telegraph, Sun and a political class in fear of, or in agreement with, the above ‘newspapers’, immigrants become the easy targets* …So when Brexit voters – even the more cautious, thoughtful and potentially amenable to the Remain position – hear “Stop Brexit” without any details, or even concerns that the status quo has not, does not, and will not serve their interests, then “Stop Brexit” very much looks like not caring, having no answers other than the one(s) they already reject(ed). When people say “Stop Brexit”, those that voted to leave simply hear it as (or take this to mean) “return to the status quo” …a status quo that catastrophically and monumentally failed to serve their interests. Problematically, “Stop Brexit” also pays no heed to the “will of the people”. Now of course, the actual phrase “the will of the people” is a disingenuous one, but that does not mean it lacks urgency and currency to those that hear it and say it, to people who felt heard for perhaps the first time. If this is true – and I think, for some, it is – then the Brexit vote and the phrase (or variations of it) has a certain poignancy and legitimacy for Brexit voters. Similarly, the “IT WAS ADVISORY!” argument does nothing to persuade because – although strictly speaking, accurate – the EU Referendum was manifestly not framed as advisory, and the frame is important.
What has emerged or become clearer – at least from my discussions on the 48% forum – is that The EU functions as a sort of cipher, a vessel into which “progressives” pour all their hopes. The wider historical and political context of this is vital to understand. For the last 25+ years, there has been an assumption from the media/political elite that we are in a “post-ideological” age. The Labour Party, firstly under Kinnock and then, with increasing enthusiasm and zeal under Blair, bought into the post-ideological understanding, but it was always false. The post-ideological (sic) Labour party and wider political culture in general was what many would refer to as “Neoliberalism”. This is not the place to enter into a wider debate about the merits (or not) of that term, save to say the term has a certain use-value in this context. Under neoliberal forms of socio-economic reproduction, apparently all ideological debates were over, and the “centre-ground” was the place to be, but it was and remains false. It is certainly unsustainable as the financial crisis made only too clear.
“Centrist” politics – which, it seems to me at least, is the dominant position of the 48%/#FBPE crowd(s) – essentially requires that the productive economy is hollowed out in favour of financialisation, outsourcing, privatisation, and rent-seeking. Scholars are increasingly referring to this model as not a ‘productive economy’ but an ‘extractive economy’. It accommodates the demands of capital while simultaneously increasing the precarity of labour. Those of us who sell our labour (income) have seen our wages stagnate or fall, while those who accrue revenue from assets (wealth) have remained fine, or even done very well. It is true that “Centrist” parties did, at times, attempt to throw in a bit redistribution, but there is an argument to suggest that this is not a productive or sensible way to organise political economy. There are of course interesting discussions to have as to how we do organise our political economy, (and some very interesting and more radical ideas) but the 2008 Global Financial Crisis demonstrated that the status quo was/is not sustainable.
As I wrote above, I think the EU can then function as a cipher or repository for “progressive” hopes and dreams. In the era of the mythologised “centre-ground” (its dominance in political discourse) generally progressive people turned towards, and simultaneously attached their hopes and dreams to the EU. It is not a case of what the EU actually is, but more a case of the idea of the EU as somehow progressive. And who can blame them/us? In the ideological vacuum of (the ideologically vacuous) “centre ground” the EU thus becomes an idea(l) onto which some vague sense of “progressive” values can be attached. For some (I stress, not all) in the #FBPE/48% crowd, EUphilia becomes politics for people who don’t do politics….or certainly people who don’t do ideology. This is why the leaders of the “Stop Brexit” campaign are those very same centrist (non-ideological (sic)) political figures: Alastair Campbell; Tony Blair; Nick Clegg; Vince Cable; John Major. Why would anyone look to these people for leadership, guidance, hope, less still any analysis of the political landscape, when – one could argue – they are (some of) the people who emptied politics of ideology, and in so doing, helped create the conditions for the Brexit vote. As Richard Seymour puts it: ‘They (Remainers) sat through the same Nick Clegg vs Nigel Farage debacles that I did, and still conclude to this day that what we need is more Nick Clegg.’ The financial crisis was the chickens of centrist politics coming home to roost, the Brexit vote, and the rise of Corbyn, is (in part) politics catching up with economics. It still stumbles on in zombie form, but there can be no return to it.
Which brings me back to Corbyn/Labour and their (admittedly frustrating) position on Brexit and talk of “A customs union”. With this move, and some other steps, it is possible that, having assessed the situation, the Labour/Corbyn project have come to realise that, at the very least, ‘A’ Customs Union is vital, if only to maintain the Good Friday Agreement in the island of Ireland. In this sense, some of the small and subtle shifts are a nod towards political and economic reality without necessarily fracturing the unstable coalition that Labour needs.
*for more on these ideas, see here, and here*
A reminder: I voted Remain, I would do so again in a heartbeat, but those of us that voted Remain and that (more or less) support Labour under Corbyn’s leadership, despite claims to the contrary by some, do not necessarily think he’s “the messiah”. The lazy assumption (often voiced by that hero of the Remainers, James O’Brien) that we think he is “the messiah” is infuriating. I generally and genuinely like and quite admire James O’Brien, almost the only place in British mainstream media where one can find that particular brand of (soft) left politics (pro-unions, wages increases, workers rights, pro-immigration, pro-public sector, critical of ‘market’ dominance) is on his daily programme on LBC. He’s also one of the few (only?) broadcasters that continues to take on the Brexit(ers) and their arguments with any regularity. He is a smart, intelligent, thoughtful and quite rigorous broadcaster and journalist – and god knows we need them. However, the caveat: When it comes to the Brexit debate and Corbyn, that sense of critical understanding – the wider social, political and electoral context – occasionally deserts him. I’m not sure I’d characterise O’Brien as a ‘hardcore’ Remainer, (a ‘Remainiac’ – though he has appeared on their podcast) but that’s certainly a position ascribed to him by the hardcore Remainers. The Remainiacs, the 48% and #FBPE crowd so often bemoan the lack of subtlety and nuance, the binary thinking that characterises hardcore Brexiters, but then in the next breath, anyone on the Remain side that is simultaneously supportive of Corbyn/Labour is accused of a messiah complex. As if there’s no agonising over it; as if it’s simple; as if we, too, are not thoroughly distressed at the Brexit shambles; as if we, too, didn’t wish the EU Referendum vote had gone the other way. To simply assert that Corbyn’s Labour position is wrong, or that it’s simple, or simply a matter of becoming a Remainer is to basically pay no attention to, nor have an analysis of political economy, ideology, the pre-EU referendum social conditions, the political and electoral landscape as it is. It ascribes onto Labour/Corbyn supporters a laziness that is simply not present. To inscribe us thus is to indulge in precisely the same lazy thinking Remainiacs accuse Brexiters of. In fact, all we are doing is simply acknowledging the immense difficulty of Corbyn/Labour’s position, while maintaining and arguing that Labour are – to say the very f**king least – not only massively preferable to the Tories, but vital, indeed a necessity for the future of our political economy and society in general. So while both (New) Labour under Blair, and the Tories (under Cameron) might have succumbed to neoliberal tendencies, it is the Tories who called the referendum, as such, they simply must take the lion’s share of the blame for the entire mess in the first place.
In an environment in which the left (broadly defined) was weak domestically, as James Butler eloquently puts it: ‘…the EU functioned as a sort of lodestar’. With a weakened left, progressive hopes were outsourced to the EU. So the EU has become the vessel for “progressive” politics for people who don’t do politics, or certainly that don’t see politics as class struggle, that lack a theory of ideology, that don’t see politics as a form of ideological antagonism. The EU became the form of liberal cosmopolitanism, of globalisation that did not threaten capital. It has(d) no interest in, less still critique of imperialism, social (in)justice and capital. Classic liberal cosmopolitanism – ideological and class antagonism is stripped out.
So while I think (still) it would be better to remain as a member of the EU, leaving in the current circumstances may well prove to be disastrous, repeated calls to simply #StopBrexit are not productive. That ship has sailed. Just “Stopping Brexit” will merely confirm the suspicions of the Brexit voters. It will further strengthen their beliefs that they’ve been shafted, it cements the idea that they were right to distrust the “political establishment”…and I would have to agree. Even if you do not agree, “Stopping Brexit” has the potential to become a central component for the radical right, already in the ascendancy, they can then organise around this fact, organise around their shafting by the establishment…the extent to which this will finally shatter an already unstable and flaky socio-political settlement is worrying, and could have disasterous consequences.
Finally, despite the electoral arithmetic not adding up, the #FBPE/48% crowd(s) continue to demand that Labour #StopBrexit. Or at least they argue that by not doing more, Labour are selling “us” out. However, it is not within the power of Labour to “Stop Brexit”…they simply do not have the numbers! Anna Soubry, Sarah Wollaston (a Tory I do at least respect) are not going to rebel, certainly not if such rebellion led in the long run, to a Corbyn-led Labour Government. Soubry, Wollaston, Clarke, Grieve fear a Labour Government almost as much as (Labour MP *now had whip withdrawn*) John Woodcock does!
“Stopping Brexit” only looks to mitigate the (most likely terrible) consequences of Brexit, but it does not examine liberal cosmopolitanism’s creation of the social political conditions, the causal (or correlative) historical conditions that made (the) Brexit (vote) possible. Just imagining:
a). That The EU is some sort of panacea *if only ‘we’ could persuade the Brexiters with ‘our’ logic*:
b) That Labour can just easily discard a core constituency (becoming the LibDems);
c) That returning to the status quo will prove sufficient…
…is a misguided fantasy.